Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 18.678798 21.269805 24.096918 27.411860 31.194102 35.377183 40.357670
2024-10-27 14.975347 18.332475 22.271225 27.238071 33.342037 40.608924 49.933492
2024-11-03 12.753764 16.668667 21.573670 28.181590 36.870885 47.935632 63.142124
2024-11-10 11.101863 15.428657 21.194809 29.462270 41.051810 56.781027 79.855774
2024-11-17 9.453330 13.920434 20.230476 29.827430 44.122268 64.735564 96.918359
2024-11-24 7.783306 12.102905 18.548653 28.913985 45.266659 70.244153 111.623539
2024-12-01 6.442744 10.548667 17.002564 27.945797 46.181750 75.608799 127.208737
2024-12-08 5.522748 9.498708 16.066645 27.783284 48.361781 83.371094 148.217710
2024-12-15 4.846560 8.737024 15.476297 28.098129 51.414198 93.150066 174.654452
2024-12-22 4.231420 7.976312 14.762867 28.076412 53.884142 102.381823 202.017598
2024-12-29 3.850584 7.577971 14.633790 29.111184 58.517761 116.452432 241.505187
2025-01-05 3.435829 7.043490 14.160961 29.401695 61.767768 128.473351 279.426456
2025-01-12 2.957982 6.315684 13.218925 28.645334 62.898883 136.760012 312.041390
2025-01-19 2.596320 5.765945 12.547927 28.343932 64.970650 147.502971 352.659210
2025-01-26 2.379444 5.492576 12.420379 29.227933 69.902483 165.632713 414.789235
2025-02-02 2.211894 5.301244 12.443685 30.474883 75.970354 187.701580 491.904389
2025-02-09 2.002883 4.975010 12.100935 30.786329 79.851452 205.359938 562.171046
2025-02-16 1.747844 4.490363 11.295395 29.791422 80.229480 214.333013 611.573574
2025-02-23 1.526879 4.052141 10.528888 28.753527 80.301156 222.581144 661.192596
2025-03-02 1.374488 3.766094 10.103121 28.554696 82.661916 237.637606 734.648799
2025-03-09 1.261296 3.565774 9.870061 28.852999 86.529268 257.859444 829.174934
2025-03-16 1.147860 3.344185 9.540093 28.810340 89.399890 275.837626 921.465254
2025-03-23 1.084228 3.255044 9.569813 29.855889 95.865651 306.285962 1063.156592